OIL!
Yes, crude oil is now under $75 a barrel, thanks to the huge
increase in domestic production and Saudi Arabia’s unwillingness to decrease
production. Local gasoline prices are well under $3 in the Northern Shenandoah
Valley, and some economists are predicting that prices should stay low for at
least the next year because it would take about two years for increased demand
to move prices back up to more than $90 a barrel.
This is good news for the U.S. economy, and in particular
for consumers. A 15-20% drop in gas prices means money is freed up for
consumption or investment. Plus, as the decrease in transportation costs
(should) lead to lower prices of shipped commodities, we’ll be saving even
more.
Americans were spending about $1 billion a day on gasoline,
so a 15% price decrease means that just in November and December, about $8.4
billion is being re-injected into the economy. By comparison, the economic
stimulus package passed in 2009 amounted to some $840 billion over ten years,
most of which ($816 billion) was already spent by the beginning of 2014. Of the
remaining funds to be re-injected into the economy from the stimulus package,
there would be an average of $0.4 billion added to the economy per month, and
these funds do not reach Americans equally. By contrast, the $4 billion per
month being re-injected naturally by the petroleum boom are directly helping
every American who uses petroleum products.
Hopefully, this natural stimulus will have long-lasting
effects for our economy and coupled with the recent Republican tide in
Congress, will place our country on a path to true prosperity.